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In the 2008 Beijing Olympics there are 302 events and about 906 medals that were awarded. Out of curiosity, we wanted to predict how many medals each country should receive based on their population and the number of athletes they send.
We hypothesized that countries with higher populations, such as China, should have a larger pool of talent and thus receive more medals.
Country
Current Medals
# Medals by population
USA
110
42.02
China
100
182.70
Russia
72
19.56
Australia
46
2.95
France
40
8.89
Great Britain
47
8.35
Germany
41
11.33
Scroll down for the complete list and other statistics.
Country
Current Medals
# Medals by population
USA
110
42.02
China
100
182.70
Russia
72
19.56
Australia
46
2.95
France
40
8.89
Great Britain
47
8.35
Germany
41
11.33
South Korea
31
6.65
Japan
25
17.60
Italy
28
8.22
Ukraine
27
6.35
Netherlands
16
2.27
Cuba
24
1.55
Belarus
19
1.34
Canada
18
4.60
Romania
8
2.95
Spain
18
6.35
Kazakhstan
13
2.13
Poland
10
5.25
Kenya
14
5.17
New Zealand
9
0.59
North Korea
6
3.28
Denmark
7
0.76
Brazil
15
25.84
Czech Rebpublic
6
1.43
Switzerland
6
1.05
Azerbaijan
7
1.17
Norway
10
0.66
Indonesia
5
31.92
Hungary
10
1.38
Armenia
6
0.41
Slovakia
6
0.74
Jamaica
11
0.37
Zimbabwe
4
1.84
Slovenia
5
0.28
India
3
156.68
Ethiopia
7
10.92
Georgia
6
0.61
Finland
4
0.73
Country
Athletes
Medals per # Athletes
China
639
53.02
U.S.A.
595
49.37
Russia
467
38.75
Germany
439
36.42
Australia
433
35.92
Japan
351
29.12
Italy
344
28.54
Canada
332
27.55
France
323
26.8
Great Britain
312
25.89
Spain
287
23.81
Brazil
277
22.98
Poland
268
22.24
South Korea
267
22.15
Ukraine
254
21.07
Netherlands
245
20.33
New Zealand
182
15.1
Belarus
181
15.02
Hungary
171
14.19
Greece
159
13.19
Cuba
149
12.36
Argentina
137
11.37
South Africa
136
11.28
Czech Republic
134
11.12
Kazakhstan
132
10.95
Venezuela
109
9.04
Croatia
105
8.71
Arab Rep. of Egypt
103
8.55
Romania
102
8.46
Sweden
97
8.05
Belgium
96
7.96
Serbia
92
7.63
Norway
85
7.05
Mexico
85
7.05
Denmark
84
6.97
Switzerland
84
6.97
Chinese Taipei
80
6.64
Portugal
77
6.39
Bulgaria
72
5.97
Austria
72
5.97
Lithuania
Country
Medals per Population per # Athletes
China
117.86
India
80.7
U.S.A.
45.69
Russia
29.15
Brazil
24.41
Germany
23.88
Japan
23.36
Australia
19.44
Italy
18.38
France
17.84
Great Britain
17.12
Indonesia
16.96
Canada
16.07
Spain
15.08
South Korea
14.4
Poland
13.74
Ukraine
13.71
Pakistan
12.18
Nigeria
11.57
Netherlands
11.3
Bangladesh
11.14
Mexico
10.88
Arab Rep. of Egypt
9.46
South Africa
8.94
Argentina
8.46
Belarus
8.18
New Zealand
7.84
Hungary
7.79
Turkey
7.69
Greece
7.36
Iran
7.14
Cuba
6.96
Vietnam
6.89
Philippines
6.86
Kazakhstan
6.54
Venezuela
6.45
Ethiopia
6.37
Czech Republic
6.28
Colombia
5.72
Romania
5.71
Thailand
5.38
Kenya
4.91
Algeria
4.91
Chinese Taipei
4.9
Belgium
4.71
Croatia
4.67
Sweden
4.66
Serbia
4.5
North Korea
4.25
Morocco
4.18
Switzerland
4.01
Portugal
3.93
Denmark
3.86
Norway
3.86
Austria
3.56
Bulgaria
3.51
Myanmar
3.49
Malaysia
3.24
Lithuania
3.11
A breakdown of medals that countries have won in B more...1 point
0 points
Country
Athletes
# Athletes country should send
U.S.A.
595
506.47
New Zealand
182
7.1
Great Britain
312
100.65
Canada
332
55.4
Australia
433
35.54
Germany
439
136.58
India
57
1888.44
China
639
2202.03
Indonesia
24
384.78
Bangladesh
5
263.57
Pakistan
21
272.58
Nigeria
33
246.01
Philippines
15
150.27
Vietnam
21
145.15
Ethiopia
22
131.6
Mexico
85
177.22
Thailand
25
104.72
Myanmar
6
78.08
Tanzania
0
67.2
Iran
55
117.11
Sudan
9
64.06
Turkey
68
117.26
Iraq
4
48.16
Afghanistan
4
45.09
Uganda
11
51.3
Nepal
7
46.84
Peru
12
47.76
Brazil
277
311.44
Uzbekistan
12
45.47
Yemen
5
37.19
Ghana
9
39
Mozambique
6
35.54
Madagascar
4
32.7
Syria
7
33.11
Saudi Arabia
16
41.09
Sri Lanka
8
32.06
Niger
0
23.63
Burkina Faso
2
24.56
Arab Rep. of Egypt
103
124.93
Malawi
4
23.13
Fetching blurbs now... please stand by
i agree iwth buffalo, china win gold, but usa win total count
Posted August 19, 2008
China...no way USA can reach them
Posted August 18, 2008
China by a land slide
Posted August 18, 2008
Try statistics of already received medals per country inhabitans.
You will see that USA is somewhere in the middle...
China is going up... There is a corelation between economics and olympic success.
Posted August 18, 2008
hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhheeeeeeeeeeeeelllllllllllllllloooooooo
Posted October 29, 2008
U.S.A! U.S.A!
Posted October 29, 2008
Great information. Interesting to look at the medals counts by population and athletes. Nice job.
Posted August 21, 2008
If China doesn't come out on top, I am sure some heads will roll. Literally!
Posted August 19, 2008
Country
Medals per GDP
U.S.A.
230.63
China
73.03
India
55.34
Japan
54.16
Germany
46.19
Great Britain
42.65
Russia
35.06
France
23.97
Italy
23.86
Brazil
21.88
Canada
21.48
Spain
18.31
Australia
15.94
South Korea
15.14
Indonesia
14.88
Mexico
12.81
Netherlands
11.05
Poland
7.59
Ukraine
7.56
Pakistan
7.21
Turkey
7.06
Nigeria
7.00
Bangladesh
6.52
South Africa
6.39
Argentina
6.26
Arab Rep. of Egypt
6.23
Greece
5.24
Iran
5.20
Hungary
4.90
New Zealand
4.71
Sweden
4.33
Venezuela
4.31
Belarus
4.09
Chinese Taipei
4.08
Philippines
3.94
Czech Republic
3.72
Switzerland
3.44
Vietnam
3.21
Thailand
3.11
Kazakhstan
2.92
Colombia
2.86
Norway
2.78
Romania
2.77
Cuba
2.73
Austria
2.70
Ethiopia
2.69
Denmark
2.40
Algeria
2.40
Portugal
2.34
Saudi Arabia
2.31
Kenya
2.19
Croatia
2.13
Belgium
2.13
Serbia
1.85
Finland
1.82
Morocco
1.73
Malaysia
1.25
Ireland
1.22
North Korea
1.21
When you take number of athletes, GDP and population into account, you can predict more accurately the final medal count. Look at the table below.
Country
AVG per GDP/Athletes, population
U.S.A.
107.34
China
96.62
India
59.91
Japan
39.92
Germany
34.37
Great Britain
26.81
Russia
26.6
France
26.11
Italy
23.94
Brazil
23.57
Canada
18.67
Spain
18.04
Australia
18
South Korea
14.91
Indonesia
13.71
Mexico
12.21
Netherlands
11.8
Poland
11.5
Ukraine
9.92
Pakistan
8.92
Turkey
8.81
Nigeria
8.64
Bangladesh
7.83
South Africa
7.53
Argentina
7.08
Arab Rep. of Egypt
7.01
Greece
6.66
Iran
6.39
Hungary
5.96
New Zealand
5.94
Sweden
5.63
Venezuela
5.61
Belarus
5.45
Chinese Taipei
5.4
Philippines
5.37
Czech Republic
5.16
Switzerland
5.03
Vietnam
4.98
Thailand
4.95
Kazakhstan
4.94
Colombia
4.77
Norway
4.74
Romania
4.73
Cuba
4.64
Austria
4.45
Ethiopia
4.36
Denmark
4.31
Algeria
4
Portugal
3.86
Saudi Arabia
3.67
Kenya
3.44
Croatia
3.4
Belgium
3.39
Serbia
3.23
Finland
3.21
Morocco
3.2
Malaysia
3.2
Ireland
3.13
North Korea
2.84

China and USA were close in the final medal count. China received the most Golds, but USA received the most medals.

Runtime: 6:50
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10 Comments:
Fetching RSS feed... please stand by
Many have spoken that economics plays a huge role in Olympic medals. I tend to agree. Check out this graph. It shows which country made the most medals per their Gross Domestic Product during the 2004 Athens Games. As it stands, the small, poor country of Ethiopia dominates over the Olympics with an incredible medal count. Go Ethiopia!American wrote...
Please read, this is critical:
http://www.squidoo.com/propheciesforamerica
God Bless you!
miragana wrote...
Good day! I like your lens.
It is very informative and has a very good quality in it.
I have given it a 5 star rating.
www.Squidoo.com/MPI
mliragana.blogspot.com
Thank you very much for your time.
divo2000 wrote...
Thanks COOLFLOWEU,
How is Germany treating you? I would have to agree with you (don't tell anyone but I'm a fan of the EU). The EU stomps everyone else--especially in economics. I know it doesn't sound realistic, but the EU as a united country would be the next world power--especially at the games. I've found that economics plays a huge role, if not the greatest role, when it comes to winning Olympic medals.
COOLFLOWEU wrote
I am a German from the European Union and set up a website with the intention to motivate my fellow Europeans to think more %u201EEuropean".
As you can see under www.EUCHAMPIONS.eu
the European Union comes out on top and way ahead of China and USA.
Of course you may argue this doesn't count, because European Union is no country or nation and if it was, could only have sent 3 athletes per event. Agreed as far as the official table of the International Olympic Committee is concerned, but to show the Europeans themselves - and while on the go also the rest of the world - how well the EU athletes have performed, why not ?!
Especially if you take into account the EU motto : UNITED IN DIVERSITY .
Or if you want to put it under an old competition (or war-) slogan :
%u201EMarch separately, but win together!"
The table also includes a column giving the population per country, allowing everybodyone's own MPC calculation.
divo2000 wrote...
Thanks Mitch. Australia has always done well in the summer games. I would assume many countries reward their athletics programs well (such as USA and European countries). I also think that culture may play a huge role. Does anyone know about the athletic culture in India? Maybe athletics is not a huge emphasis in India? (They sure have the population to win a lot of medals).
James, thanks for the widget. I added a link above. Usain Bolt is the real 'Flash.'